The Politrack Research Team survey, carried out between September 15 and 25, asked people who they would vote for if the presidential election were held at the time.

Ruto was named by 45.1 percent of respondents, followed by Sifuna with 19.6 percent and Kalonzo Musyoka with 10.3 percent.

Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i received 7.2 percent, while former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua recorded 6.0 percent.

But for 8.4 percent of those surveyed, the choice was still unclear. They said they were undecided.

Other presidential hopefuls attracted smaller shares of support. Professor George Wajackoyah received 1.1 percent, while People’s Liberation Party leader Martha Karua and former Chief Justice David Maraga each received 0.8 percent.

Siaya Governor James Orengo recorded 0.4 percent, while businessman Jimmy Wanjigi received 0.3 percent. The remaining respondents were included in the other categories reported by the survey.

More than 20,000 people surveyed

Politrack said it reached potential voters across Kenya through a text-based technology platform. Selected users were invited to participate and respond to the questions at a time that suited them.

A total of 20,419 people took part. The research team reported a 95 percent confidence level and a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points.

The findings come as Kenya’s political scene becomes increasingly active ahead of the 2027 election. Political parties and movements are holding consultations and exploring possible alliances.

Ruto takes his agenda across Kenya

Ruto has in recent weeks travelled extensively across the country, launching, commissioning and inspecting government projects as he promotes his administration’s development agenda.

His recent visits have included Nyanza, the South Rift and the Coast, where he has inspected roads, water and sanitation projects, markets, affordable housing developments, health and education facilities, energy projects and other infrastructure.

Sifuna has also increased his political activity in recent months through the Linda Mwananchi movement and has positioned himself as a potential presidential candidate.

The poll puts him ahead of several other established presidential hopefuls, including Kalonzo, Matiang’i and Gachagua.

Gachagua has been building his political network through the Democracy for Citizens Party, or DCP. He has also spent time in the United States, engaging with Kenyans living in the diaspora.

Kalonzo, meanwhile, has continued talks with opposition leaders as different political groups consider possible alliances ahead of the election.

The survey offers a snapshot of where voter preferences stood between September 15 and 25, as Kenya’s political players continue to organise, build alliances and prepare for the 2027 race.